With the exception of Paisley and Renfrewshire North and South in Scotland, the 10 biggest percentage increases were all in England. The UK electoral statistics Quality and Methodology Information report contains important information on: the strengths and limitations of the data and how it compares with related data, the quality of the output including the accuracy of the data. … This data is produced by the Population Division of the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. Figure 7 shows the number of overseas electors decreased between December 2017 to 2018. There are at present 650 Westminster Parliamentary constituencies in the UK, made up of 533 in England, 59 in Scotland, 40 in Wales and 18 in Northern Ireland. Statistics for Parliamentary electors for electoral wards in England from 2010 to 2017 are available on request from the Boundary Commission for England. Aldrich, John H. 1993. For this release we’ve included counts of the number of electors opted out of the open register for local government areas in England and Wales. We collate these statistics for the UK using the data supplied by NRS and EONI. You’ve accepted all cookies. The fall in electoral registrations in 2018 is partly driven by population change as a relatively high number of deaths as well as a small cohort of 18-year-olds mean more people left the electoral register than joined. You can change your cookie settings at any time. One in five of this group moved to Labour and 14% voted Conservative. Descriptive statistics According to the summary statistics in Table 1, 42.2% of the 13,136 individuals in our sample indicate that the UK should leave the EU in response to the survey question “Should the UK remain a member of the EU or leave the EU?” This compares to 51.9% of the electorate voting Leave in the referendum. The Voter Turnout Database is the best resource for a wide array of statistics on voter turnout from around the world. Scotland, Wales and England specific weights are not applied. As of December 7, 2020, 66.7 percent of the eligible voting population in the United States voted in the 2020 presidential election. Part of this change is driven by a decrease in the number of electors registered overseas who are not eligible to vote in local government elections. Electoral statistics for Scotland are produced and published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) and cover Scottish Parliament constituencies, Scottish regions and electoral wards. This data has previously been published later in the year. This change has unfolded in both parties, but White voters have consistently accounted for a much larger share of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters than of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters (81% vs. 59% as of 2019). These are detailed in the Quality and Methodology Information report. Democracy Demographics: A look at each state . Figure 1 shows the change in the number of Parliamentary electors for UK constituent countries over the last two years. Conservatives . Please note: all historical data is still on this website. The data used will soon be updated for 2020. There is some evidence for the first of these, population change, driving the change in electors in this year’s statistics. The total number of UK Parliamentary electors decreased by 372,000 (0.8%) between December 2017 and December 2018, compared with an increase in the previous year. In Section 3, “Things you need to know about this release”, three potential drivers of change in the number of registered electors were mentioned. The pattern of change in the last two years contrasts with the years immediately preceding them, where there was a sharp increase in the number of overseas electors. | POLITICO By Arnau Busquets Guàrdia June 24, 2016 9:02 pm Share on Facebook; Share on Twitter ; Share on Linkedin; Mail; Print; British voters chose to Leave the European Union on Thursday by nearly four percentage points. The interactive maps in Figure 6 show the percentage change in local government electors for the last three years for the UK and the change in the number of parliamentary electors (on local government boundaries) for the last year in England and Wales. This is not the latest release. We use this information to make the website work as well as possible and improve our services. Preliminary figures show the highest turnout since 1900, with 66.4% of eligible voters turning out compared with 60.1% in 2016. Demographic differences and voting patterns in Scotland’s independence referendum Insight. While the number of anonymous electors makes up only a small proportion of the total electorate (around 1 in 20,000), the number has doubled from 1,258 in the year to December 2010 to 2,550 in the year to December 2018 in England. Every state is different. Does your demographic background affect how you vote? General Election 2019: Volatile voters 'behaving more like consumers' People's voting habits are less influenced by social class and more defined by age, education, race, earnings and Brexit. Demography; UK elections; Voters; Cassie Barton ; Does your demographic background affect how you vote? Suggested Readings . Black eligible voters have accounted for nearly half of Georgia electorate’s growth since 2000 You can see all previous versions of this data on the previous versions page. A small error occurred in the labelling of units in figures 8 (electors opted out of the open register) and 9 (anonymous electors) in the statistical bulletin due to human error. Young voters favoured Labour, with 60% of those aged 18-24 voting for Jeremy Corbyn's party, while 61% of over-64s voted Conservative. There are three main reasons why the registered numbers of electors in an area can change from year to year: a change in the size of the population who are entitled to vote; for example, due to international migration, internal migration, deaths, a change in the proportion of the eligible population who actually register to vote; for example, more people registering as a result of better canvassing or due to an election, changes to the franchise in Scotland in the summer of 2015 to allow 16- and 17-year-olds to vote in Scottish Parliamentary elections and local government elections in Scotland. The number of Parliamentary and local government electors decreased in England, Wales and Scotland but increased in Northern Ireland. The number of electors in Wales decreased by 1.4% in the year to December 2018. The difference in who is entitled to vote at Parliamentary and local elections depends largely on residence and citizenship conditions. Electoral statistics for Northern Ireland are produced and published by the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland (EONI) and cover Parliamentary and local government electorates at electoral ward level. The statistics are also of interest to Members of Parliament and the general public. At a simplistic level this means that the flow of people off the register (largely through deaths) has increased and the flow of people on to the register at age 18 years (16 years for local government electors in Scotland) has fallen. While the Isles of Scilly had the largest decrease (7.1%) it should be remembered that the total number of local government electors there is very small (around 1,600) and that annual percentage change can often be volatile as a result. The total number of Parliamentary electors in each of the UK constituent countries and the percentage changes between 2017 and 2018 was: Northern Ireland – 1,248,400, an increase of 0.5%. Class-based voting was common up until the 1970s, with the working class generally voting for Labour as the party was linked to trade unions who were seen to … The Remain share of … Data for Scotland are similarly collected by National Records of Scotland (NRS). In Northern Ireland the number of electors increased by 0.5% in 2018 following a 3.0% increase in the year before. Data for Northern Ireland are collected by the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland (EONI). Data Sources. People registered to vote in Parliamentary and local government elections as recorded in the electoral registers published on 1 December for England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Hide. Further information on anonymous electors is available (PDF, 112KB). The total number of UK local government electors in the year to 2018 was 47,785,500, a decrease of 0.3% on 2017. The CPS is a large survey primarily used to calculate the nation's unemployment rate. Midterm Election Turnout New Census Bureau data show that voting increased among all voting age and major racial and ethnic groups. The 2019 UK general election vote in Great Britain; Social group Con Lab Lib Dem Others Lead Total vote 45: 33 12 10 12: Gender Male 46: 31 12 11 15: Female 43: 34 12 11 9: Age 18–24 19 62: 9 10 43: 25–34 27 51: 11 11 24: 35–44 36 39: 13 12 3: 45–54 46: 28 14 12 18: 55–64 49: 27 11 13 22: 65+ 64: 17 11 8 47: Men by age 18–24 22 59: 10 9 37: 25–34 31 48: 10 11 17: 35–54 45: 30 Hispanic voters made up more than half of the citizen voting-age population in 24 congressional districts in six states. The data are available from StatsWales (please note their explanation giving details of the impact of boundary changes in some areas). In December 2017 the number of parliamentary electors was at its highest since December 2012 following three successive years with national polls. We use this information to make the website work as well as possible and improve our services. In July 2016, the Electoral Commission published a report into the accuracy and completeness of the December 2015 electoral registers. All data in the data playground are weighted for a general population of the UK. The data were also weighted to the population profile of Great Britain. In the 2019 United Kingdom General Election, voter turnout was 67.3 percent of eligible voters, a 1.5 percent drop compared with the previous general election in 2017. However, care must be taken in using these data for that purpose as the population estimates include some people who are not eligible to vote and exclude some people who are eligible to vote (for example, overseas electors). Electoral statistics are available for the two main groups of voters: Parliamentary electors – those entitled to vote in Westminster Parliamentary elections, local government electors – those entitled to vote in local government elections. Statistics for National Assembly for Wales electors by Assembly constituencies are published by the Welsh Government. Demographic statistics according to the World Population Review in 2019. We have also published some research looking at the scope and quality of the Electoral Register as a likely source of data for measuring population, which is available in the Administrative Data Sources Report on the Electoral Register (PDF, 554KB). The year to December 2018 saw the highest number of people opting-out of the electoral register. In the year to 2016, 92% of local government areas saw an increase in the number of local government electors; for 2017 the proportion was nearly 82% while for the year to 2018 just 43% of areas saw an increase. In previous years the electoral statistics release has been followed by later publications of additional data. In recent years, areas with large numbers of students or other populations with high levels of population churn have tended to see more annual changes (both increase and decreases) in their electoral rolls than elsewhere. For this release we’ve included counts of the number of electors registered overseas for regions in England and for Wales. These additional tables only cover England and Wales. Ahead of the November election, select a state to explore population, voting, and employment data … They are subject to full quality assurance procedures, are reliable and provide comparable data across the UK constituent countries. The 2019 release of electoral statistics (referring to 1 December 2018) includes several changes to local authority names, codes and boundaries. The other five areas are spread across England. The electoral statistics in this release give information on the number of people who are registered to vote in the UK – there is no similar collection of data on the number of people who are eligible to vote but who do not register. 79% of those who voted Labour in 2017 stayed with the party, while 9% went to the Conservatives, 7% to the Lib Dems, 2% to the Greens and 1% to the Brexit Party. For England and Wales, electoral statistics are taken from data supplied to the Office for National Statistics by local Electoral Registration Officers. Data from the United States Elections Project (USEP) ... and the demographic characteristics of voters are much more skewed compared to non-voters. In the year to December 2017, all four UK countries saw increases in their local government electorate. You can change your cookie settings at any time. "Rational Choice and Turnout." Further information on who can vote in different UK elections can be found on the GOV.UK website. Those electors who are eligible to vote in local government elections in Wales are eligible to vote in National Assembly for Wales elections. For this release we’ve included counts of the number of anonymous electors in England and Wales. We have corrected this error. U.S. Census Bureau—Voting and Registration. Note: Liberal vote share includes votes for Liberal/SDP alliance (1983-87) and Liberal Democrats from 1992. Scotland and England had a decrease of 0.6% and 0.8% respectively in the year to December 2018, compared with increases in the previous year. The British Election Study is not responsible for any analysis or any uses of data playground analysis. Nottingham had the second largest percentage decrease of 6.3% and Dundee City decreased by 3.9%. Voter turnout data is also available for individual constituencies at the 2015 — 2010 — 2005 — 2001 — 1997 general elections, and for Westminster by-elections, the London Mayor elections, and for European parliament elections. Figures for 1918 include all Ireland. Turnout tends to be low when the margin of victory of a General Electionis high, suggesting that people are more inclined to vote if the result is uncertain . The data are available from the electoral statistics section of the EONI website. This is at least partly due to campaigns encouraging eligible voters to register being held across the country during the EU referendum in June 2016, and also for the May 2015 and June 2017 General Elections. Figure 5 shows the 10 areas that had the greatest percentage decrease in local government electors in the year to December 2018. Try our corporate solution for free! CON LAB LIB Other PC/SNP. Most of the areas with the largest percentage decrease in the year to December 2018 experienced relatively large increases the previous year: City of Durham decreased by 11.3% in the year to December 2018 but increased by 7.3% the previous year, Nottingham South decreased by 9.1% in the year to December 2018 but increased by 11.6% in the previous year, Nottingham East declined by 7.4% in the year to December 2018 but increased by 7.5% in the previous year. The tables published alongside this report provide the number of electors in the latest and previous year for each Westminster Parliamentary Constituency. For a demographic profile of the electorate, we must turn to surveys. proportion of people eligible to vote) and turnout as a proportion of those who chose to vote at UK General Elections since 1900 . The number of Black registered voters in Georgia increased the most among all major racial and ethnic groups between 2016 and 2020. “The number of people registered to vote in UK parliamentary elections has fallen for the first time since 2015. The overall voter turnout rates provided on this site cannot reveal who among the electorate voted. Another driver of the fall in the number of parliamentary electors was a 45% reduction in the number of registered voters living overseas following large increases in the preceding years.”, Neil Park, Centre for Ageing and Demography, Office for National Statistics. The total number of UK Parliamentary electors in December 2018 was 45,775,800, a decrease of 372,000 (negative 0.8%) from the previous year. Where did 2017 voters go? Figure 3 shows Parliamentary constituencies with the largest percentage decreases in electors in the year to December 2018. Insight; Elections; Voters; Steven Ayres; In Thursday’s referendum, Scottish independence was rejected by a margin of around 10 percentage points. The total number of local government electors in each of the UK constituent countries and the percentage changes between 2017 and 2018 was: Northern Ireland – 1,281,600, an increase of 0.6%. The tables provide data on overseas electors, anonymous electors, electors opted out of the open register, and Parliamentary electors on local government boundaries. This data has previously been released later in the year. Despite improving their overall vote share from 8% to 12% this election, the Liberal Democrats only retained 59% of their 2017 voters. The table below shows the same data, in reverse order, together with the percentage turnout for each of the four regions. American National Election Studies. Today, the single best possibility for approaching a socialist-inspired revolution in the United States would be the overwhelming participation in knowledgeable voting … Published Tuesday, 23 September, 2014. Figure 2 shows the 10 areas that experienced the greatest percentage increases in Parliamentary electors between December 2017 and December 2018. Firstly, voting behaviour has changed under people of different social classes to a large extent. Overall, the pattern of change across the UK was similar to that for Parliamentary electors. Many of the areas with the biggest percentage decreases in electors in the year to December 2018 have large student populations. Over the last few years the number of deaths across the UK has increased (partly linked to the increasingly old age structure of the population) and the number of those aged 18 years has decreased (this is mostly due to small birth cohorts around the millennium). The data are available from the electoral statistics section of the NRS website. Electoral statistics represent the most accurate count possible of the number of people on electoral registers each year. Share of the vote by party: UK General Elections, 1918-2010. In the year to December 2016 there was an increase of 157.4% of overseas electors for England and 147.1% increase for Wales. These statistics are produced from data collected from Electoral Registration Officers by ONS. Other electoral statistics produced for areas in the UK are as follows. It is important to note that not all those becoming eligible to vote immediately register to vote. This is likely to be partly demographically driven by relatively low numbers of deaths (people leaving the electoral register) and a relatively large cohort of 18-year-olds able to join the register in this area. The populations in student areas tend to experience consistently high levels of migration (both within the UK and internationally) as students migrate to and from places of study. Figure 7 shows an increase of electorates in the year to December 2016, due to there being overseas voter registration campaign (PDF, 5MB) in the run up to the 2015 General Election and interest in the 2016 referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU. The local government electorate in Scotland includes 16- and 17-year-olds who are ineligible to vote in European elections. Voting behaviour has changed or remained consistent in the UK since the 1970s based upon the underlying demographic dynamics. Among the most widely sited surveys is the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey, November Voting and Registration Supplement (or CPS for short). The total number of UK Parliamentary electors in December 2018 was 45,775,800, a decrease of 372,000 (negative 0.8%) from the previous year. The Edison Research polling saw 15,590 voters interviewed across the United States. How Brexit vote broke down A visual guide to Thursday’s EU referendum. The typical size of constituencies differs between the constituent countries of the UK. Skip to main content ... most estimates of the VAP data are based on the latest census data report in the Demographic Yearbook 1998. The majority of those registered to vote in local government elections are also eligible to vote in European elections. Further the populations in these areas tend to have disproportionately high levels of people aged 18 and 19 years who have only been eligible to vote for a short period. Electoral statistics, UK Statistical bulletins Electoral registrations for Parliamentary and local government elections as recorded in the electoral registers published on 2 March 2020 for England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. 11 May 2010. You’ve accepted all cookies. The 10 local government areas that experienced the greatest increases in the number of local government electors between 2017 and 2018 are shown in Figure 4. Demographic breakdown of voting from MORI's election aggregates of polls (corrected to the final result), 1974-2010. We apologise for any inconvenience. Nine areas voted by over 70% to leave, many of them in eastern England including Boston, South Holland and Great Yarmouth. All 10 local government areas with the greatest percentage increase were within England, apart from Renfrewshire in Scotland. Further information on opting out of the open register is available. The proportions of voters for each party and non-voters was then weighted to the actual results by region. To be entitled to vote in European elections in the UK, European Union (EU) citizens are required to request the right to vote in this country rather than their home country. Just 14.2% have an equivalent qualification in the Norfolk seaside town of Great Yarmouth, which delivered one of the biggest leave votes of 71.5%. This data has previously been published later in the year following the release of the Electoral Statistics. The map showing the change in parliamentary electors for the year to 2018 shows larger decreases in the number of registered electors than the local government equivalent. Part of the explanation for this pattern is that both 2016 and 2017 had national elections (the EU Referendum in 2016 and a General Election in 2017) while 2018 did not. This follows major national votes three years running – two General Elections and the EU Referendum, which pushed electoral registration to a five year high in 2017. The number of electors was at a high point in the year to December 2017, following three successive years with national polls, in contrast with the decrease in electors seen in the latest year, to December 2018. Information on the quality of these statistics is provided in the Quality and Methodology Information report. These boundaries came into effect at the May 2010 General Election. For the 2019 release these tables have been published as part of the regular annual release. Electoral registrations for Parliamentary and local government elections as recorded in the electoral registers published on 2 March 2020 for England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. We would like to use cookies to collect information about how you use ons.gov.uk. The United States Election Project. All counties saw a decrease in their local government electorates except Northern Ireland, which increased by 0.6%. The … These statistics are produced from data collected from Electoral Registration Officers by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Age was found to be more of a determining factor in how people vote, with 67% of over 70s backing the Tories, while 56% of those in the 18-24 bracket putting their cross next to a Labour candidate. Between 2013 and 2018 the number of electors opted out of the open register increased by 11.1 million (76%) to 25.7 million. 84% of 2017 Conservative voters stayed with the Tories, with 8% going to the Lib Dems, 5% going to Labour and 2% going to the Brexit Party. Hide. It should come as no surprise that an estimated 65 percent of ethnic minority voters opted for Labour. The Electoral Commission continues to conduct research on voter registration, as well as providing information and guidance to both electoral registration officers and the general public. In parts of the UK with younger age structures (such as Northern Ireland) there have been increases in the size of the electorate while in areas with older age structures (Scotland, Wales and the North East of England in particular) there have been decreases. The largest percentage increase in local government electors was in Barking and Dagenham (4.5%). The Ukip vote collapsed across every age group. (212) 419-8286 Base: 7,505 GB adults aged 18+ (of whom we have classified 5,255 as likely voters, using the same definitions as in previous election estimates), interviewed by telephone and online between 21 April – 7 June 2017. The electoral statistics we publish are used by Boundary Commissions, the Electoral Commission and central government to help with the improvement of electoral policies and for statutory reviews of Parliamentary constituency boundaries. Behind the 2018 U.S. We provide mid-year estimates of the resident population and these have sometimes been used as an estimate of the total number of people who are entitled to vote. View latest release. We would like to use cookies to collect information about how you use ons.gov.uk. While all four UK countries saw an increase in their parliamentary electorates in the year to December 2017, only Northern Ireland had an increase in the year to December 2018. This post is adapted from a piece of analysis I carried out as part of my MSc Data Science course, looking at how demographic variables relate to changes in the Labour Party’s vote in the 2017 UK General Election, and how these relationships vary across the country. This is a question that’s difficult to answer, but it’s often a talking point following general elections. All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated, /peoplepopulationandcommunity/elections/electoralregistration/bulletins/electoralstatisticsforuk/previousReleases. This is the largest percentage decrease seen since the year to December 2015 when the number of electors decreased by 2%. Those persons who do not make this request will not be included in the European Parliament electorate. We moved them to The National Archives website, to keep this website as responsive as possible. While we can’t gather exact data on how different groups of people voted, we can get a picture from national polling. One in five (19%) 2017 UKIP voters backed the Brexit Party, while two thirds (67%) moving to the Tories. Three of these areas, Thornbury and Yate, Filton and Bradley Stoke and Kingswood are all partly or entirely within South Gloucestershire. Further information to support the electoral statistics, covering methodology, quality and data sources is available from us: the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revisions and corrections policy explains how we implement and categorise revisions to statistics, the transfer of the production of electoral statistics to the Electoral Commission is being considered by the Electoral Commission and ourselves – your views on this potential transfer are welcome; please contact pop.info@ons.gov.uk, news on our population statistics can be obtained by subscribing to the quarterly newsletter (email your request to population.statistics@ons.gov.uk or following the Twitter account @richpereira_ONS, All content is available under the Open Government Licence v3.0, except where otherwise stated, /peoplepopulationandcommunity/elections/electoralregistration/bulletins/electoralstatisticsforuk/2018, Figure 1: The number of Parliamentary electors in the UK decreased in 2018, Figure 2: The greatest percentage increases were constituencies in Renfrewshire and South Gloucestershire, Figure 3: City of Durham had the greatest percentage decrease in parliamentary electors, Figure 4: Barking and Dagenham had the greatest percentage increase in electors in 2018, Figure 5: Largest percentage decrease in electors across local government areas in the UK, Figure 7: Number of electors registered overseas decreases by 45% in England and 47% in Wales, Figure 8: Number of electors opted out of the open register continues to rise, Figure 9: Number of anonymous electors doubles since December 2010, Things you need to know about this release, Total number of UK Parliamentary electors decreases, Local government electorate decreases across all countries except Northern Ireland, Further information on who can vote in different UK elections can be found on the GOV.UK website, Quality and Methodology Information report, overseas voter registration campaign (PDF, 5MB), information on opting out of the open register, information on anonymous electors is available (PDF, 112KB), electoral statistics section of the NRS website, electoral statistics section of the EONI website, Administrative Data Sources Report on the Electoral Register (PDF, 554KB), accuracy and completeness of the December 2015 electoral registers, UK electoral statistics Quality and Methodology Information, Office for National Statistics (ONS) revisions and corrections policy.
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